Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 8.450995 9.702569 11.095036 12.762498 14.709449 16.916164 19.614302
2024-12-29 7.041641 8.713097 10.731422 13.361221 16.716450 20.879380 26.475040
2025-01-05 6.027771 7.867870 10.224434 13.489597 17.937026 23.841329 32.369847
2025-01-12 5.240645 7.138290 9.685893 13.395995 18.727367 26.212589 37.696382
2025-01-19 4.620369 6.524632 9.185694 13.230136 19.317381 28.291657 42.811716
2025-01-26 4.306470 6.287245 9.159953 13.703669 20.846804 31.877023 50.655546
2025-02-02 4.000854 6.017442 9.041122 13.998975 22.108116 35.172973 58.487524
2025-02-09 3.800632 5.878633 9.093939 14.549581 23.817621 39.373058 68.431789
2025-02-16 3.428379 5.428737 8.606795 14.157546 23.896029 40.823394 73.718084
2025-02-23 3.153344 5.106216 8.288243 14.002695 24.345612 42.946000 80.516271
2025-03-02 2.916488 4.822825 8.003725 13.868299 24.801693 45.113690 87.695197
2025-03-09 2.694414 4.543249 7.697184 13.656742 25.080434 46.965161 94.494723
2025-03-16 2.478540 4.259051 7.362517 13.369325 25.202318 48.568943 101.131354
2025-03-23 2.416965 4.242002 7.500739 13.981060 27.147411 54.059482 117.083305
2025-03-30 2.293662 4.101315 7.398530 14.114746 28.141680 57.713710 129.530565
2025-04-06 2.152044 3.914122 7.191499 14.016285 28.637252 60.359260 140.057286
2025-04-13 2.014554 3.723101 6.959797 13.841967 28.946250 62.626382 150.045315
2025-04-20 1.965611 3.698007 7.047942 14.339661 30.784429 68.608675 170.497947
2025-04-27 1.899043 3.632429 7.048923 14.650079 32.236470 73.887714 190.113651
2025-05-04 1.863537 3.625678 7.167840 15.228946 34.381078 81.147232 216.571782
2025-05-11 1.735528 3.420342 6.857917 14.816777 34.112980 82.347462 226.073870
2025-05-18 1.640460 3.276213 6.665522 14.653989 34.434860 85.106410 240.699071
2025-05-25 1.554476 3.144824 6.489874 14.512712 34.793700 88.013424 256.360935